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Show HN: Friendly prediction markets to turn trips into a running tournament
On a trip with my friend, he introduced me to Kalshi and Polymarket and was shocked at how degenerate it was being able to bet on literally anything. So naturally I built an app ironically where we could do the same thing (with fake money) on group outings!<p>Managed to get a prototype finished in time for our big 14-person annual ski trip and we had a blast 'betting' on things like "Will [friend that always breaks his phone] break his phone?" and "Who will win the first game of Jackbox?" Having a low-stakes running leaderboard during our trip was so fun that I decided to flesh it out and share it with others for their trips, wacky professors, etc.<p>*How It Works*<p>1. Create a group for your trip and give your friends the group code to join.<p>2. Everyone starts with the same amount of Tokens/Points/Ski-bux that they can wager on each question.<p>3. Place bets on the options that you think will win - the more bets on an option, the more it costs to pick that option.<p>4. Anyone can propose when an outcome has happened and everyone gets 24 hours to dispute it.<p>5. Every share of the winning option pays out as 1 Token once the 24 hours has passed. So if you bet 2 tokens when the odds were 50%, you win 4 Tokens!<p>Please let me know what you think and what features I should add to make it even more fun for your friend groups!<p>---<p>Requires an account to use, but feel free to use this test account if you just want to peek around: (u: test@test.com - p: 11111111)<p>Also available on:<p>Android: <a href="https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.bernikins.bets">https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.bernikins....</a><p>iOS: <a href="https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bernibets/id6761561613">https://apps.apple.com/us/app/bernibets/id6761561613</a>
This is a well-executed hobby project that captures a fun social niche, but it currently lacks the characteristics of a scalable venture-backed business. The lack of a clear monetization strategy, low barriers to entry, and the 'single-use' nature of trip-based apps present significant hurdles for long-term growth.